Exhibits 111-120 to Public Comment of Columbia Riverkeeper et al. under CP09-6, et al.
10/05/2015Effect of Increased Levels of Liquefied Natural Gas Exports on U.S. Energy Markets October 2014 Independent Statistics & Analysis U.S. Department of Energy www.eia.gov Washington, DC 20585 This report was prepared by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), the statistical and analytical agency within the U.S. Department of Energy. By law, EIAs data, analyses, and forecasts are independent of approval by any other officer or employee of the United States Government. The views in this report therefore should not be construed as representing those of the Department of Energy or other Federal agencies. U.S. Energy Information Administration | Effect of Increased Levels of Liquefied Natural Gas Exports on U.S. Energy Markets i October 2014 Table of Contents Introduction .................................................................................................................................................. 5 Analysis approach .................................................................................................................................... 9 Caveats regarding interpretation of the analysis results....................................................................... 10 Summary of Results .................................................................................................................................... 12 Energy Market Results ................................................................................................................................ 14 Natural gas prices .................................................................................................................................. 14 Natural gas supply and consumption .................................................................................................... 15 Total energy use, energy-related carbon dioxide emissions, and end-use expenditures ..................... 19 Macroeconomic Effects .............................................................................................................................. 24 Macroeconomic considerations related to increased energy exports .................................................. 24 Economic results from EIA modeling ..................................................................................................... 24 Results for 12- and 20-Bcf/d scenarios using alternative baselines ...................................................... 26 Appendix A. Request Letter ........................................................................................................................ 29 Appendix B. Summary Tables ..................................................................................................................... 31 U.S. Energy Information Administration | Effect of Increased Levels of Liquefied Natural Gas Exports on U.S. Energy Markets ii October 2014 Tables Table 1. Added LNG exports needed in each pairing of DOE/FE export scenarios and baseline cases ........ 9 Table 2. Cumulative ener