Case 3:15-cv-30131-MAP Document 5-20 Filed 08/20/15 Page 1 of 44
MF-EXHIBIT-21
Case 3:15-cv-30131-MAP Document 5-20 Filed 08/20/15 Page 2 of 44
MF-EXHIBIT-21
Lovelace et al., v. United States
US ENERGY INFORMATION
ADMINISTRATION INCREASE IN
EXPORTS OF NATURAL GAS RESULTS
IN HIGHER NATURAL GAS PRICES
WITHIN THE UNITED STATES
Case 3:15-cv-30131-MAP Document 5-20 Filed 08/20/15 Page 3 of 44
Effect of Increased Levels of
Liquefied Natural Gas Exports on
U.S. Energy Markets
October 2014
Independent Statistics & Analysis U.S. Department of Energy
www.eia.gov Washington, DC 20585
Case 3:15-cv-30131-MAP Document 5-20 Filed 08/20/15 Page 4 of 44
This report was prepared by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), the statistical and
analytical agency within the U.S. Department of Energy. By law, EIAs data, analyses, and forecasts are
independent of approval by any other officer or employee of the United States Government. The views
in this report therefore should not be construed as representing those of the Department of Energy or
other Federal agencies.
U.S. Energy Information Administration | Effect of Increased Levels of Liquefied Natural Gas Exports on U.S. Energy Markets i
Case 3:15-cv-30131-MAP Document 5-20 Filed 08/20/15 Page 5 of 44
October 2014
Table of Contents
Introduction .................................................................................................................................................. 5
Analysis approach .................................................................................................................................... 9
Caveats regarding interpretation of the analysis results....................................................................... 10
Summary of Results .................................................................................................................................... 12
Energy Market Results ................................................................................................................................ 14
Natural gas prices .................................................................................................................................. 14
Natural gas supply and consumption .................................................................................................... 15
Total energy use, energy-related carbon dioxide emissions, and end-use expenditures ..................... 19
Macroeconomic Effects .............................................................................................................................. 24
Macroeconomic considerations related to increased energy exports .................................................. 24
Economic results from EIA modeling ..................................................................................................... 24
Results for 12- and 20-Bcf/d scenarios using alternative baselines ...................................................... 26
Appendix A. Request Letter .........
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